3-Fund Portfolio: Simple, Effective… Obsolete?

Jan Klosowski
Jan Klosowski ·

3-Fund Portfolio

If you’re looking for the most classic lazy portfolio recommendation, look no further than the elegant simplicity of the 3-Fund Portfolio. The idea is straightforward: get exposure to the domestic and international markets, and add some stability with bonds. By combining three broad-based funds, as advocated by Taylor Larimore—a respected figure in the Bogleheads investment community—you’ll potentially do better than most investors out there.

The benefits of this approach are easy to grasp: it’s all about simplicity and diversification.

Simplicity

Anybody can build a 3-Fund Portfolio. Just pay attention to a few key details:

  • Low-Cost Funds: Make sure the funds you pick have low expense ratios. Don’t pay more than 0.5% in management fees. Vanguard, a leader in low-cost funds, charges between 0.07% and 0.14%, which can be your benchmark. Over the long term, high fees can really eat into your returns due to compounding costs.

  • Adjustable Allocation: You can tweak the actual allocation to suit your preferences, risk tolerance, and investment horizon. Whether it’s 40% domestic stocks, 30% international stocks, and 30% bonds, or a 70/20/10 split, both follow the core principles of the 3-Fund Portfolio.

Diversification

Investing in funds that passively track large, diversified indices minimizes unsystematic risk. This could be an ETF tracking the broad market like Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) or even the S&P 500 (VOO), which many investors choose. Going for smaller, more specific niches isn’t the traditional 3-Fund Portfolio approach.

Examples of 3-Fund Portfolio

Let’s look at examples of how you can implement this using Vanguard, BlackRock, and State Street funds:

Vanguard
Asset Name Allocation
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF 40%
VXUS Vanguard Total International Stock ETF 30%
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF 30%
  • VTI: Gives you exposure to the entire U.S. stock market.
  • VXUS: Covers international stocks in both developed and emerging markets.
  • BND: Tracks the U.S. investment-grade bond market.
BlackRock iShares
Asset Name Allocation
ITOT iShares Core S&P Total Market ETF 40%
IXUS iShares Core MSCI Total International Stock ETF 30%
AGG iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF 30%
  • ITOT: Tracks the entire U.S. stock market.
  • IXUS: Provides international stock exposure outside the U.S.
  • AGG: Represents the total U.S. investment-grade bond market.
State Street SPDR
Asset Name Allocation
SPLG SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF 40%
SPDW SPDR Portfolio Developed World ex-US ETF 30%
SPAB SPDR Portfolio Aggregate Bond ETF 30%
  • SPLG: Tracks the S&P 500 Index, representing large-cap U.S. stocks.
  • SPDW: Provides exposure to developed international markets excluding the U.S.
  • SPAB: Follows the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index.

As you might notice, in these examples, “domestic” means the U.S. market, which is also followed by many foreign investors since the U.S. stock market is still the biggest and one of the best-performing markets.

3-Fund Portfolio Examples for European Investors

However, if investing in your own domestic market feels more comfortable or aligns with your principles, let’s build similar portfolios for other countries:

Germany
Asset Name Allocation
EXS1 iShares Core DAX UCITS ETF (DE) 40%
SWDA iShares Core MSCI World UCITS ETF 30%
BUND iShares Germany Govt Bond UCITS ETF 30%
  • EXS1: Tracks the DAX Index, comprising major German companies.
  • SWDA: Provides global developed market exposure.
  • BUND: Focuses on German government bonds.
Austria
Asset Name Allocation
ATX Lyxor ATX (DR) UCITS ETF 40%
CW8 Amundi MSCI World UCITS ETF 30%
IEGA iShares Core Euro Govt Bond UCITS ETF 30%
  • ATX: Tracks the ATX Index, representing Austrian stocks.
  • CW8: Offers exposure to global developed markets.
  • IEGA: Invests in Eurozone government bonds.
France
Asset Name Allocation
C40 Amundi ETF CAC 40 UCITS ETF 40%
CW8 Amundi MSCI World UCITS ETF 30%
GFA Amundi Govt Bond Euro MTS France UCITS ETF 30%
  • C40: Tracks the CAC 40 Index, representing major French companies.
  • GFA: Focuses on French government bonds.
Spain
Asset Name Allocation
EX35 iShares IBEX 35® UCITS ETF 40%
IWRD iShares MSCI World UCITS ETF 30%
SPGB iShares Spain Govt Bond UCITS ETF 30%
  • EX35: Tracks the IBEX 35 Index, covering Spanish stocks.
  • SPGB: Invests in Spanish government bonds.
United Kingdom
Asset Name Allocation
ISF iShares Core FTSE 100 UCITS ETF 40%
VWRL Vanguard FTSE All-World UCITS ETF 30%
IGLT iShares Core UK Gilts UCITS ETF 30%
  • ISF: Tracks the FTSE 100 Index, representing large UK companies.
  • VWRL: Provides global stock market exposure.
  • IGLT: Focuses on UK government bonds (gilts).

If you compare the performance of domestic ETFs for different countries, you’ll notice big differences. This brings us to a key point: in today’s global economy, there might not be a particularly strong reason to prioritize domestic companies or use only your government’s bonds. While holding assets in your local currency can offer some predictability, it may also limit diversification and potential returns.

Investing in a global market fund like the Vanguard Total World Stock ETF (VT) can provide broader exposure and reduce country-specific risks. If you want to be a local patriot, remember that it may come at a price.

Is the 3-Fund Portfolio Still Good? Yes, but…

Good? Absolutely! Combining broad market index funds and bonds is a gold standard of investing. Considering the impact of very low costs, it’s likely better than 90% of financial products on the market.

The Problem with Bonds

Bonds are defensive assets that protect you from market volatility and have an important place in portfolio building, especially as you approach retirement. However, when you’re in the accumulation phase and aiming for FIRE (Financial Independence, Retire Early), relying heavily on bonds can have a high price.

Read more about building FIRE portfolio →

Why?

Because if you’re still adding new money to your investments—like contributing from every paycheck—you’re effective dollar-cost averaging and falling prices are great. Market going down, is an opportunity to buy assets at better price. This is exactly the moment when you want to deploy your capital. What protects you from losing money is investing in broad market funds, while the price volatility is not a big problem froma a long-term perspective.

On the other hand, it’s hard to imagine a scenario where the global stock market is crashing long-term, but your government bonds are doing great and providing strong returns. To protect yourself from various economic scenarios, hard assets like gold and Bitcoin might do the job better than any guarantees issued by the government. And historically they did: after the DOTCOM bubble, 2008 crash, and even recent COVID “drop” in 2020, gold was “saving the day” while even 1% of Bitcoin added to VT fund in the last 10 years, more than doubled returns.

Are bonds just a waste of time? Not at all. Once you stop adding more money to the market and focus on preserving your capital, moving a big part of your assets into bonds makes sense. In the classic 3-Fund Portfolio, bonds play a crucial role in reducing volatility and providing stability.

However, if you’re still accumulating wealth and dreaming about FIRE, bonds just slow you down.

Is the Domestic Market Any Special?

Dividing the market into the U.S. and “the rest of it” is one of those weird American things. There are funds tracking the whole global market, like VT. Why manually weigh between “domestic” and “non-domestic”? Not to mention, that not all “domestic” markets are created equal.

You Can Diversify Better

A portfolio that’s 100% VT is already amazingly diversified. Want to diversify further? Consider adding different asset classes like gold and Bitcoin, which are easy to include and can offer additional protection against various economic scenarios.

Our Verdict

So, how do we pull all this advice together?

If you’re already retired or nearing retirement, the 3-Fund Portfolio is a solid choice. It balances growth and stability, which is exactly what you need at that stage.

However, if you’re still accumulating assets and aiming for FIRE, you might do better in the long run by focusing more on growth assets and diversifying across different asset classes. Here’s an example of a three-asset portfolio:

3-Asset Classes Portfolio
Asset Allocation Rationale
VT 75% Global stock market exposure for growth
Gold 20% Hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty
Bitcoin 5% Potential for high returns and diversification

This alternative portfolio is more neutral and protects you from a wider range of scenarios while keeping all your capital at work.

Are you ready for even more adventurous portfolio following that idea? Read this article →

Conclusion

The 3-Fund Portfolio is a time-tested, simple, and effective investment strategy. It’s particularly suitable for investors who want a straightforward approach to building wealth over the long term. It offers simplicity, low costs, and diversification across major asset classes.

But remember, investment strategies aren’t one-size-fits-all. Depending on your individual circumstances, investment horizon, and financial goals, you might consider adjusting the traditional 3-Fund Portfolio to better suit your needs. During the accumulation phase, focusing more on growth assets and less on bonds can help you reach your FIRE goals faster. Adding alternative assets like gold and Bitcoin can provide further diversification and protection against various economic scenarios.

Ultimately, the best investment strategy is one that aligns with your personal goals, risk tolerance, and investment timeline. Make informed decisions and build a portfolio that works best for you.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investing involves risks, including the possible loss of principal. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.

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